Its a bloodbath in cryptocurrency markets right now and the Ethereum (ETH) price is getting slaughtered, falling below $2,000 convincingly for the first time since late-2023 on Monday.
Supposed bullish crypto market catalysts in recent weeks, such as the announcement of the US strategic Bitcoin reserve and national crypto stockpile, failed to trigger a meaningful bounce.
Rather, the focus is on an increasingly bearish macro outlook – the Trump administration is signaling to the market that they are happy to bring about a near-term recession as they pursue policies of D.O.G.E austerity and trade wars.
Whilst many analysts agree that these policy shifts are long overdue, particularly shrinking the shrinking of the US government deficit, they also unanimously agree that this is bad news for the US economy’s near-term growth.
In the background, the Fed may cut interest rates but the prospect of a liquidity flood remains a long way off.
So the bears are in control of things right now, and risks are strongly tilted towards a much lower Ethereum price in the weeks and months ahead.
$2,000 is a key long-term support/resistance area, so the break below here is meaningful.
With the Ethereum price having long since lost its grip of its major moving averages, there isn’t really much support all the way until $1,500, the mid-2023 lows.
A retest of these areas are very likely in the coming months, or even weeks. So, is it all over? Should investors dump all their crypto holdings and give up forever on the asset class?
No, absolutely not. Here’s why.
When to Buy the Ethereum Price Dip
An ugly macro backdrop characterized by rising uncertainty and recession likelihood means the near-term bias is most certainly to the downside.
So getting out of the market right now, or insuring against price downside with puts, might not be a bad idea for traders.
That said, its definitely not “over” for Ethereum in the longer-term. Ethereum remains the leading DeFi chain in the industry, backed by BlackRock and Trump administration insiders, many of whom are HODLers.
All that the Ethereum price and the broader crypto markets need is for a favorable swing in macro conditions.
Specifically, past period of strong Ethereum price performance have come against the backdrop of rapidly rising liquidity in the financial system.
So basically, once the Fed has cut interest rates to zero and is pumping QE (and once the US economy has stabilized from any potential recession), it’s going to be off to the races.
Investors would thus do very well to accumulate Ethereum as it reaches depressed prices. There are so many bullish crypto narratives right now and all that’s needed is for macro to improve.
We could still easily be looking at an Ethereum price above $10,000 by the end of the Trump administration.
That could mean gains of 5-10x for steely nerved investors that pick up Ethereum between $1,000-$2,000.
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