The downward consolidation that has capped Trump coin price action since mid-May is nearing its breakout point, strengthening the short-term price outlook with a potential 2x move.
While the April setup featured a 20-day continuation pattern, the current formation flashes a classic reversal pattern that has developed over 60 days—a prolonged buildup of momentum.
Meme coins continue to struggle under the FUD of geopolitical tensions, with the Israel-Iran conflict unresolved—TRUMP remains 45% below its presidential dinner peak.
Derivatives Traders Are Betting on a TRUMP Rally
Open interest is showing signs of recovery, rising 3% over the past 24 hours, according to CoinGlass data. Speculative interest is building with traders actively following WIF price moves.
These Derivative traders appear to be positioning for a continuation, with the 4-hour long/short ratio in an uptrend now at 1.11—over 52.7% of traders are betting on price increases.
TRUMP 12-hour long/short ratio. Source: Coinglass.Trump Price Analysis: Is it Time to Buy?
With a bounce from the lower support of a falling wedge in the early week—a classic bullish reversal pattern—the TRUMP coin price appears to be approaching a key breakout point.
TRUMP / USDT 1-day price chart, bullish falling wedge reversal pattern. Source: TradingView, Binance.A confluence zone is now forming where historic accumulation just below $9.15 intersects with the wedge’s upper resistance trendline, increasing pressure for an upside move.
Momentum indicators support the bullish setup. The MACD line has widened its marginal lead above the signal line following a golden cross—an early sign that a trend reversal is taking root.
More so, the RSI has rebounded from oversold territory at 30, signaling seller exhaustion and presenting buyers with an opportunity to take control of the prevailing trend.
If this setup mirrors the April breakout from a symmetrical triangle—a continuation pattern—a similar 2x gain could be on the cards, targeting the early March peak at $17.70.
This local top marked the market trajectory pre-tariff war. With a US-China trade deal and potential for an EU trade deal soon, these past headwinds may be clearing for a continuation.
However, considering the two-month build-up of the falling wedge, pressure could push an upward move even higher towards the February post-inauguration rally top around $24.
Still, if the accumulation zone fails, the bullish setup could be invalidated. The next key support lies at $7.15, a 20% drop from current prices to retest the mid-April market bottom.
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